Jul 15, 1:04 AM EDT

China's economic growth steady at 6-year low of 7 percent; retail sales, factory output rise


AP Photo
AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein

Multimedia
Video photo gallery on trash in China
China celebrates 60th year
Panorama of Tiananmen Square
Remembering Tiananmen
A year after China quake
Migrant laborers struggle to find work
Checking Beijing's Air
China's morning exercises in parks
Exploring Chinese Cuisine
Beijing Architecture Changes For Games
Woman Rescues Homeless Quake Dogs
China Holds Funeral for Panda
China's 1-child Policy Causes Extra Pain
Map of Earthquake Zone in Central China
Entrepreneurs Move Into, Out of China
Olypmics in Beijing Highlight China's Water Woes
Foreign Buyers Head to China Despite Problems
Coal Use Produces Pollution, Illness
Coal Means Profit, Woes for China
China Extending Its Reach Around the World
In China, the Desert Closes In
Latest News
Q&A: What the tumble in Chinese stock prices means for No. 2 economy, rest of world

Timeline of Chinese government measures to halt stock market slide

NK ambassador to China says North Korea not interested in talks for Iran-style nuclear deal

China accepts lawsuit against ConocoPhillips, CNOOC in 1st case brought by environmental group

Chinese state media snipe at Obama's trip to Africa, US aid programs for the continent

Buy AP Photo Reprints
Multimedia
A district summary of the Beige Book
Measuring economic stress by county nationwide
Mall malaise: shoppers browse, but don't buy
Unemployment by the numbers
Family struggles with father's unemployment
Saying an affordable goodbye
Hard times hit small car dealer
Latest Economic News
US Treasury secretary says Puerto Rico's government should be given access to bankruptcy soon

British economic growth picks up in second quarter with 0.7 percent growth

Italian group confirms discussions regarding investment in Economist Group

Survey shows unexpected upturn in German business confidence as Greece worries subside

What slowdown? 90 percent of Chinese still say their economy is good; most of world is gloomy

South Korea's growth slows to lowest level in more than 2 years, hit by severe drought, MERS

NYC OKs $50,000 settlement with pepper-sprayed Occupy protester, after $333K to 6 others

IMF picks White House economic adviser Obstfeld to be chief economist

Central bank chiefs see economic progress despite Chinese stock plunge, Greek debt crisis

European Central Bank agrees to increase support to Greek banks, first step to let them reopen

Interactives
Greece's Debt Threatens to Spread
State budget
gaps map
Auto industry problems trickle down, punish Tennessee county
Women give old Derby hats a makeover in tough economy
S.C. town deals with highest unemployment in South
How mortgages were bundled and sold as securities
Tracking the $700 billion financial bailout
Tracking the year's job losses
State-by-state foreclosures since 2007
Credit crisis explained
Presidents and their economic legacies
Lexicon of the financial crisis
Americans' addiction to debt
Audio Slideshow
Panorama of Tiananmen Square
Remembering Tiananmen

BEIJING (AP) -- China's economic growth in the latest quarter held steady at 7 percent, its weakest performance since the global crisis, but better retail sales and factory output in June suggested efforts to reverse the slump might be gaining traction.

The figure reported Wednesday was slightly above forecasts and came as the ruling Communist Party is struggling to reverse a stock market plunge that threatens to disrupt its economic reform plans.

The ruling party is trying to steer China to slower, more sustainable growth based on domestic consumption instead of trade and investment. But an unexpectedly sharp downturn over the past two years raised the threat of politically dangerous job losses. Beijing responded by cutting interest rates four times since November and pumping money into the world's No. 2 economy through spending on construction.

"There are good reasons to think that the latest figures are mirroring a genuine stabilization of conditions on the ground," said Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics in a report.

Retail sales growth accelerated in June to 10.6 percent, up 0.5 percentage points from May's rate. Factory output rose 6.8 percent, an improvement of just under 1 percentage point from the previous month.

A government spokesman cautioned that the economy still faces "increased downward pressure," due in part to weak demand for Chinese exports.

"The foundation for the stabilization of China's economy needs to be consolidated," said a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, Sheng Laiyun, at a news conference.

Second quarter growth probably benefited from a stock market boom that brought brokerages a flood of revenue, according to analysts.

The market has tumbled from its early June peak, prompting a massive government intervention that included banning sales by large shareholders and a pledge by state-owned brokerages to buy stocks.

The plunge prompted concern consumers might cut spending, but analysts say the impact should be limited. Fewer than 10 percent of Chinese households own stocks, compared with up to one-third in the United States and Europe.

"The real impacts on the domestic economy are likely to be limited to short-lived volatility in industrial sector profits," said Brian Jackson of IHS Global Insight in a report this week. "The most substantial hit to the economy over the medium and long term will be to investor confidence."

The latest figures keep China on track to meet the Communist Party's official growth target of 7 percent for this year. The International Monetary Fund and private sector forecasters expect that to decline further in coming years.

Much of the slowdown from China's double-digit growth in the previous decade was self-imposed as communist leaders tightened controls to cool inflation, surging housing costs and an investment boom.

The ruling party has promised to give entrepreneurs a bigger role in the state-dominated economy. But they have yet to take significant steps to reduce the monopolies and other privileges of government companies.

The relentless decline in growth has left many ordinary Chinese pessimistic about their own economic outlook.

Wang Zhong, 30, who works in purchasing for a Shanghai restaurant chain, said his company has reduced its workforce and gave no raises this year. He said he and his wife have an 8-month-old son but have put off trying to buy an apartment because prices are too high.

"I'm not optimistic about the economic outlook in the second half of the year," said Wang.

Trade data reported earlier showed June export growth rebounded to 2.8 percent from May's 2.5 percent contraction. Imports fell 6.1 percent, an improvement from the previous month's 17.6 percent decline.

Li Ming, a former employee of state television in Beijing, said he lost several tens of thousands of yuan (thousands of dollars) in mainland stocks but made about 1 million yuan ($160,000) in the Hong Kong market. He said he and his wife put their profits into buying an apartment they hope will rise in value.

"Generally speaking, however, I don't think there will be any positive changes in the current economic slowdown," said Li, 28.

The government didn't break out June's investment growth rate but Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics said the data suggest it accelerated to 11.4 percent from May's 10 percent.

"The support to growth from the financial sector should soon fade. But the recent step-up in policy support will limit the downside risks," said Evans-Pritchard. "We think that growth is on track to slow only gradually over the course of the next few years."

---

AP researchers Fu Ting in Shanghai and Dong Tongjian and Yu Bing in Beijing contributed.

© 2015 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed. Learn more about our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.